Samford
Symposium on Environmentalism
By Craig Branch
{This
article is an abstract of the presentation given
by ARC Director Craig Branch at Samford University
on April 21, 2007.}
The University
of Connecticut’s Center for
Survey Research and Analysis released a study last
Earth Day (4/19/06) which indicated 66% of Americans
believe that gradual global warming is true and is
caused by carbon dioxide emissions from cars, factories
and power plants. Only 31% do not. I was invited by
the Vulcan Materials Center for Environmental Stewardship
and Education to present an Evangelical Christian perspective
on Environmental Stewardship at a conference featuring
Dr. E.O. Wilson, Biology professor at Harvard University
and known as the “Father of Environmentalism.”
Also
a featured presenter was the Reverend Sally Bingham,
an Episcopal priest in San Francisco and founder
of The Regeneration Project.
Dr. Wilson stated
that he saw the human abuse of the environment so
dire,
and the two most powerful
forces in American society being science and the
Christian
Church, he wanted to “extend an olive branch” to the Evangelical
community, and explore common goals and ways to cooperate on environmental
stewardship.
My presentation
had several purposes. The first was to clarify what “evangelicalism” is
in relation to broad, nominal Christianity. Then I presented the basics
of the Biblical doctrine of Environmental Stewardship
from the cultural and
creation
mandate given in Genesis 1 and 2, the effect of the Fall and curse in Gen.
3, the new covenant in the New Testament, and all the way to the final
judgment and new heavens and new earth. This view
is held by almost all evangelicals
but
horribly neglected in teaching and practice.
We are to be involved
with protecting and using creation is such a way
as to
preserve its usefulness to serve mankind, not on
the basis of greed,
or
exploitation,
but to best serve the human race. This includes numerous environmental
issues.
But inevitably
the issue is framed by the most important questions
on who makes the decisions, on what grounds and
with what approaches to
resolve,
on what
basis for all these decisions, and with what consequences. I attempted
to explain that
evangelicalism is not monolithic in its response to the threat of climate
change and global warming. The views range from (1) denial of any significant,
enduring
global warming trend; (2) some warming but without a human induced
causation; (3) some warming with some human induction;
(4) catastrophic warming
with mostly human culpability.
I explained also
that the response steps and solutions varied corresponding
to the various
scenarios listed above. I also stated that on environmental
stewardship
in general, most evangelical churches had seriously neglected both
teaching and activism in that doctrine.
I stressed that
we can and should work together with those outside
our faith
on like-minded projects, but without compromise
of our
basic or
core beliefs.
I disagreed with Dr. Wilson that science and Christianity are fundamentally
at odds.
I then proceeded
to present the two dominate views within evangelicalism
on climate control and global warming.
On the believing side I
told of several working groups
of evangelicals who are strong activists in combating this condition.
I read excerpts from the documents and a quote from evangelical
leader David
Gushee
supporting those in the Wilson-Bingham camp.
I then presented
information about a formidable group of evangelical
leaders and scientists who have debated and published, papers
allegedly refuting
the other sides claims. I also quoted a number of scientists
who also oppose the
global warming conclusions, as well as revisions being made
by various pro global warming institutions like the
Intergovernmental
Panel
on Climate Change
(IPCC),
lessening the danger.
My purpose was
to help everyone understand the reason for much reservation
within Christian
circles on engaging in strong
activism on this particular
popular issue.
I quoted several respected scientists who claimed to refute
the majority of claims made in Al Gore’s “An
Inconvenient Truth” film.
I pointed to a
probable cause for the confusion as was thoroughly
laid out by Dr. Daniel
Sarweitz who warns that often the
attempts of such
a diversified
assortment
of scientific fields and approaches, goals, and agendas,
add to the confusion rather than present a valid consensus.
I
ended with a challenge from Dr. John Bergstrom,
professor of Agricultural and Applied Economics at
University of
Georgia who
wrote the lead
article in our
journal on Environmental Stewardship, to take seriously
our call to engage in active stewardship, yet always
guided by
understood
Biblical
principles. [Sally
Bingham publicly stated that I misled the audience
with my quotes from one scientist who she (and Dr.
Wilson) claimed was found to be a fraud. I will address
that in a postscript]
Presentation at Samford University, April 21, 2007
I am
Craig Branch, director of the Apologetics Resource
Center headquartered here in Birmingham. I want
to thank the Vulcan Materials Center for Environmental
Stewardship and Education for the opportunity
to present an evangelical Christian perspective
on Environmental Stewardship or responsibility.
For those who are unfamiliar with the term Apologetics,
it is an area of historical study within Christianity
which involves defining, defending and advancing
the worldview truth claims of the Christian faith.
Let
me begin with a couple of clarification qualifiers.
First, the term "Evangelicalism" represents
a multi-denominational subgroup within the spectrum of professing Christianity.
Evangelicalism’s distinctives are a belief in the inspiration, infallibility,
and absolute authority of the Bible, also the one true God is the Triune God,
and salvation is only by grace through repentance and faith alone in the redemption
offered through Jesus Christ, and belief in the literal bodily resurrection
of Christ. Using more colloquial terminology, evangelical Christianity is usually
represented as conservative Christianity rather than moderate or liberal versions.
Within
the multi-denominational evangelical spectrum, we all agree on the basics,
and on most of the non-essential doctrines, but there are some differences
of interpretation on some doctrinal issues.
So, today
as I present the evangelical doctrine or position
on environmental stewardship,
I will present the defining characteristics
of the two major
groups within evangelicalism that agree on doctrine but are at odds on
whether aspects
of the current situation applies, or if they do apply, and to what course
of action adheres to Biblical standards. There is not monolithic position
although
there is much congruency.
In addition,
Christians should welcome any opportunity to
work alongside people of different belief
systems as cobelligerents on like-minded projects,
as long
as we do not compromise the standards of our faith. Like Dr. Wilson has
said – let’s
interact and see where it can go. I must say though that I do not agree
with Dr. Wilson when he indicated that science and Christianity are at
odds with one
another. We believe Christianity is a science starter, not a science
stopper. In fact our ministry has produced two journals which I believe
establish
that claim, “Science vs. Christianity”, and “Evolution
or Creation?”
Regarding
Evangelical churches, I must state that by-in-large,
we have been seriously negligent in understanding
the Biblical
call and instructions
on
Environmental
Stewardship. That needs to change. Many conservative churches, by-in-large
have been reticent to be involved in social justice issues because
of the perception that liberal churches do that.
But that is wrong and must
change.
And it is
beginning
to change. Historically this responsibility/doctrine has been known
as "the
cultural mandate," normally in the Reformed theological tradition.
I
understand I was chosen to speak because we work closely with most
all evangelical Christian denominations and because of exposure to
the Jan-Feb
edition of our
ministry’s Areopagus Journal, which is devoted to Environmental
Stewardship.
So what is
the Biblical doctrine of Environmental Stewardship?
Biblical doctrine is not based on a verse or proof text here and
there but
on a theme of corresponding
and interrelated passages.
Genesis 1:27-28
and 2:15 tells us that God produced a special
creation – male
and female, Mankind. I say “special” because it is
the only creation God created in His own image. Man uniquely
possesses many attributes of God,
in a finite way. Man is a rational being with intellect. He can
reason, has a will to choose. Man is moral by nature. He can
love. He’s a relational
and spiritual being. And he can exercise dominion.
In fact God
explicitly appoints mankind to “Be fruitful and multiply
and fill the earth and subdue it or have dominion over all
of God’s creation,
and He pronounced this arrangement as “very good.”
So
what does “subdue it” or “have dominion
over the earth” mean?
It means that although the earth belongs to God, He has appointed
its existence to serve human needs. But this dominion and
subjugation is an entrusted stewardship.
Man is biologically related to and interdependent on earth.
Man is a caretaker of the earth. The earth is not to be elevated
above or even equal to man as Eastern
religions or new age pantheistic GAIA beliefs do. Worship
is alone to God, not man or creation.
The process
of exercising stewardship involves economic and
ethical decisions. Economic growth must be sustainable
growth – that
is, meeting peoples needs while preserving resources and
the sustaining capacity of the environment.
The Bible
tells us that we are our brother’s Keeper.
We are to love our neighbor, and when Jesus was
asked, “who is your neighbor?” he
pointed to someone outside their culture, even
an enemy. The Good Samaritan gave financially
to help get the injured Jew back on his feet. Jesus tells
us that we are to responsibly
feed the hungry, clothe the naked, welcome the stranger,
to visit or help the sick and to share our
resources with anyone who has a legitimate
need.
But there
is the reality of the Fall – the
rebellion of disobedience and human autonomy
from God. Man and creation were cursed – death
entering into the cosmos. Man’s fall
into sin makes the propensity and actuality
of abuse inevitable. This tendency towards abuse and
making decisions that lead to death applies
to individuals and collectively to families,
voluntary associations,
business enterprises, and governments – All human
institutions.
Environmental
abuses occur. Governments, business enterprises
and individuals put toxic wastes
into air, water and
land. They (we)
used mineral,
plant, and animal resources wastefully – refusing
to accept responsibility or restrain themselves from
harmful actions. This is why laws for environmental
protection
are warranted to some degree. Man tends toward materialism,
greed, selfishness.
But the dominion/stewardship
mandate continued after the Fall, even though
stewardship
then became more
difficult (more on
that later).
The restoration
mandate was
repeated after the flood in Gen. 9:11, when God
made a
covenant that “never
again shall there be a flood to destroy the earth.” This
covenant has the implication that the earth and
its inhabitants will be sustained until the final
judgment and consummation of the new heavens and
new earth.
But until
then, how does God intend for people
to subdue the earth, to exercise dominion or
stewardship over
it and what
should that
look like?
Indeed, it
is inevitable that people will
make such decisions. The great questions
are: Who
will make
them, on what
grounds or basis,
and with
what consequences?
Will most decisions be made by individuals,
private bodies, or civil governments? Will they
be made
on utilitarian
or absolutist ethical
grounds, with whose
benefit in mind – the individual, the
human community, the natural world, or the
whole biosphere?
To whom are people accountable for the use
of creation? All
ethics and legislation is based on someone’s
morality – whose? And
finally, how and to what extent can we know
and ensure the consequences of our decisions?
The
answers to those questions begin with being
restored into a vital relationship with God
through repentance
and receiving
the
gift of
salvation in Jesus
Christ. Then comes a transformational process
of the renewal of our minds and hearts
through the Bible and the Holy Spirit.
There
is a general agreement among knowledgeable
evangelicals on the Biblical basis for Environmental
Stewardship.
In fact two important
evangelical documents have been written.
One is titled “For the Health of
the Nation: An Evangelical Call to Civic
Responsibility.” It
has a section titled “We labor
to protect God’s creation”.
The National Evangelical Association endorses
it. A second document is titled the Cornwall
Declaration. It states, “While
some environmental concerns are well founded
and serious, others are without foundation
or greatly exaggerated. Some well-founded
concerns focus on human
health problems in the developing world
arising from inadequate sanitation, widespread
use
of primitive biomass fuels like wood and
dung, and primitive agricultural,
industrial, and commercial practices; distorted
resource consumption patterns driven by
perverse economic incentives; and improper
disposal
of nuclear and
other hazardous wastes in nations lacking
adequate regulatory and legal safeguards.
Some unfounded or undue concerns include
fears of destructive manmade global warming,
overpopulation, and rampant species loss.”
But
there remain some significant differences
within our ranks. Did you catch the first
sentence in
the Cornwall Declaration? “While
some environmental concerns are well
founded and serious, others are without
foundation
or greatly
exaggerated.”
The big centerpiece
issue in the environmental movement
today is Climate Control and
Global Warming. This
is also a major
focus of division.
There is a
significant movement within evangelicals that
accepts that
global
warming is real
and dire. For example,
a recent
statement was
issued by
the Evangelical Climate Initiative
group, titled “Climate Change:
An Evangelical Call to Action.” It
was signed by 86 evangelical Christian
leaders, including presidents of
39 evangelical colleges, and mega-church
network pastors Rick Warren and Bill
Hybels.
Early in the
statement, a very significant
proposition is made. It states “Because
all religious/moral claims about
climate change are relevant only
if climate change is real and is
mainly human-induced, everything
hinges on the scientific
data. As evangelicals we have hesitated
to speak on this issue until we
could be more certain of the science
of
climate change, but the signatories
now believe that the evidence demands
action.”
There is an
issue of conflicting scientific data
on the topic as
well, questions
on even the value
of science
due to its
multi-disciplinary matrix of
focuses and agendas.
Another major
document which sets forth an exhortation for
Evangelical
involvement
in
Environmental
Stewardship is “An Evangelical
Declaration on the Care of
Creation,” released
in late 2005, by the Evangelical
Environmental Network. Ron
Sider is the prime mover of
this Network,
and who formed a partnership
with
the late popular secular scientists
Carl Sagan and Jay Gould, in
order to make a joint appeal
by religion and science for
the environment. But this document
too has been criticized by
other
Evangelicals for some unproven
hypotheses and
vague solutions.
There is another
initiative taking place to
unite secular
scientist
with Evangelicals
which
Dr.
Wilson spoke
of last night. But
apparently national
media has incorrectly
communicated that the National
Association of Evangelicals
have joined with
scientists at the
Center for Health
and Global Environment
at
Harvard Medical
School which
issued a letter to President
Bush and other major political
leaders
titled “An
Urgent Call to Action.”
The
media assumed that because
the NAE’s vice president
for Governmental Affairs,
Richard Cizik collaborated
on the letter, that the
NAE endorsed it.
But the NAE did not participate
nor endorse it as their
official policy states, “Recognizing
the ongoing debate regarding
the causes and origins
of global warming, and
understanding
the lack of consensus among
the Evangelical community
on this issue, the NAE
Executive Committee, while
affirming
our love for the Creator
and His creation,
directs the NAE staff to
stand by and not exceed
in any fashion our approved
and adopted statements
concerning
the environment within
the Evangelical Call
to Civic Responsibility.”
Now
on the other side there
are a group of influential
Evangelicals
who agree
with their
colleagues
who signed the documents
about environmental stewardship,
but do not agree with
the application of it to Global
Warming. One
of the most formidable
and active critics
of Global Warming within
evangelical circles is
a group
called Interfaith
Stewardship Alliance
made up of evangelical
leaders,
as well as, many scientists.
They have produced two
important documents.
One is titled, “A
Call to Truth, Prudence,
and Protection of the
Poor: An Evangelical
Response to Global Warming.” The
second is “An Open
Letter to the Signers
of ‘Climate Change:
An Evangelical Call to
Action’ and others
concerning Global Warming.” They
have 160 Christian leaders
and scientist signers
and endorsers.
In it they
claim to present
extensive evidence
and argument against
the extent, and the
significance of the
much touted scientific
consensus on catastrophic
human-induced global
warming.
They maintain
that the best scientific
evidence
is that
natural causes
may account for a
large part
of the global
warming
in the last 30
years, but
there have been
many rising and falling
cycles of global
average temperature – well
within the bounds
of natural variability.
They also
maintain that harm caused
by Government
mandated
carbon dioxide
emissions
reductions,
and mandated reductions
in energy
consumption will
far exceed their
benefits
and this
harm will be
felt primarily
by the poor. I strongly
urge
everyone
to read the
articles and documentation
on their website
(www.interfaithstewardship.org)
as well as the
pro-climate change documents
mentioned earlier.
But then listen
to Professor David Gushee
at the evangelical
Union
University, and
member of the
Evangelical Climate
Initiative writes
in the Associated
Baptist Press, “The
global communities
of science, business
and policymaking
have largely
moved past the
debate
about whether
humans are causing
serious
climate
change and on
to the question
of
what to do about
it. But the conservative
Christian sector
in the United
States remains
either
indifferent or
deeply divided,
and
our reticence
is slowing the
movement
of climate policy
in the United
States…All
but a very tiny
fringe of skeptics
now agree that
global warming
is happening…On
the question
of whether climate
warming is primarily
human-caused,
Professor
Beisner quoted
a number of scientists
to claim that
this remains
an open
question. I concede
that there is
not a 100 percent
consensus
on this issue
among North
American climate
scientists. But
I am still impressed
by the fact that
the strong majority
of climate scientists,
including the
consortium of
scientists called
the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate
Change, as well
as the national
science
academies of
all
leading industrialized
countries, accept
that climate
change as we
see it today
is primarily
human-induced…The
mechanism for
this human-caused
warming
is clear. It
is primarily
caused
by the release
from our cars,
homes,
factories and
farms of billions
of
tons of heat-trapping
gases (‘greenhouse
gases’)
that stay in
the atmosphere
for decades and
block the escape
of thermal radiation
from the planet’s
surface.”
So there is
the dilemma.
I
found it interesting that last month an organization
called
Intelligence
Squared held a debate, broadcast
on NPR, on the motion, “Global Warming
is Not a Crisis.” There were 3 top scientists
in their field debating on each side of the issue.
Before the debate the audience was polled and
30% voted for the motion, 57% against, and 13%
undecided.
After the debate 46% voted for the motion, 42%
against, and 13% were still undecided.
The Interfaith
Stewardship Alliance also points out there
is growing evidence that continued
research is shifting against catastrophic human-induced
global
warming. For example, the most cited and respected body by the pro global
warming advocates is the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
In their 2007
Fourth Assessment Report, they reduced the
projected temperature impact of
human-induced climate change by 25%, from
their 2001 assessment
report.
The 4th assessment also reduced the estimate of negative human contribution
by 35% and greatly increased the roles of solar energy, sun spots and
solar wind as contributions. They also concluded that there is no evidence
that
extreme weather events are increasing in any systematic way, agreeing
with the U.S.
National Hurricane Center and the World Meteorological Organization.
The
World Meteorological Organization released a statement that no firm
conclusion can yet be made for human induced
climate change causing tropical
cyclones
and that no individual tropical cyclone can be attributed to climate
change.
Several IPCC
leading scientists have withdrawn in protest
over what they say are continued unsubstantiated
claims
held by the group. For
example
Dr. Christopher
Landsea, a climatologist and the Science Operation officer at the
U.S. National Hurricane Center withdrew after
a dismissal of his denials
that man-made
global warming was the cause of the 2004 active Atlantic hurricane
season.
Richard Lindzen
is the Sloan Professor of Meteorology at MIT
and is a contributing author to the IPCC. He
was featured in an article
in
Newsweek
last week
saying “Many
people have said that the earth is facing a crisis requiring urgent
action. This statement has nothing to do with science. There is
no compelling evidence
that the current warming trend we’ve seen will amount to
anything close to catastrophic.”
Lindzen (in
addition to many other scientists) have expressed
amazement and disdain over the
claims of Al Gore in his Academy Award Winning
film, “An
Inconvenient Truth.” Gore claims “there is no longer
any serious debate over the basic points that make up the consensus
on global warming.”
Lindzen in
the Wall St. Journal, and other scientists in
other forums, have taken apart most of Gore’s
claims. I don’t have time here to list
them but do a Google search and evaluate the assessments yourself.
I will add
something though as it is a valuable resource
to read. Al Gore testified last month at a congressional
sub-committee
hearing on Energy
and Environment.
After he briefly spoke and presented a 3 page paper, Bjorn
Lomborg,
a professor from the Copenhagen Consensus Center, Copenhagen
Business School,
spoke
to the committee and presented a 23 page paper with 4 pages
full of
scientific, peer-reviewed articles and journals. Lomborg
is the author of A Skeptical
Environmentalist.
He made the
following points:
1. Global warming is real and is man-made.
2. But statements about the strong, ominous
and immediate consequences of global warming
are often wildly exaggerated.
3. We need a stronger focus on smart solutions rather than excessive efforts.
4. Climate change is not the only issue on the global agenda and is one where
we can do the least good first. If we follow Al Gore's recommendations, we
will likely end up choosing very bad policies.
In the few
minutes I have left, I want to focus on the issue
of the problem of science. I do not agree with
those who say Christianity and science are
not compatible. We produced a journal which establishes that Christianity
has always been a science starter, not stopper. But I speak of true science,
not
scientism or the philosophy of naturalistic materialism.
But I want
to point you to a secular academic, Dr. Daniel
Sarewitz,
of the Consortium for Science, Policy and Outcomes
at Arizona State University,
who published a major relevant article in Environmental Science and
Policy in 2004,
titled "How Science Makes Environmental Controversies Worse." He
published a more popular version in the March-April issue of American
Scientist.
In the paper's
abstract Sarewitz writes, "Scientific
uncertainty which so often occupies a central place in environmental
controversies, can be
understood not as a lack of scientific understanding, but as a lack
of coherence among
competing scientific understandings, amplified by the various political,
cultural, and institutional contexts within which science is carried
out."
He elaborates, "Consider
climate change, which may variously be understood
as a problem of climate impacts, biodiversity,
land use, energy use, water
use, agricultural productivity, public health, economic development,
demographics and so forth. Each of these concerns involves a variety
of interests and values,
of potential winners and losers, and each depends on a body of
relevant
knowledge to help define, understand, anticipate and respond to
the problem. The very
wealth of reliable scientific information becomes an obstacle to
achieving any type of shared understanding of what climate change ‘means.’ That
is, the problem is not a lack of scientific input so much as the
contrary – a
huge and evolving body of knowledge with components that can be
legitimately assembled and interpreted in different ways to yield
competing views
of the issue at hand.”
I will close
with a quote from one of our Environmental Stewardship
journal articles by Dr. John Bergstrom,
Professor of Agricultural
and Applied Economics
at the University of Georgia who writes, “Christians are
in a unique position to offer thoughtful solutions to the environmental
and natural resource
problems and issues we face in the world today. As mentioned at
the beginning of this article, there is growing recognition on
the part of people from a
variety of professional and personal backgrounds that effective,
long-term solutions to natural resource and environmental problems
and issues requires
an appropriate moral basis for action. God’s Word found in
the Holy bible provides this moral basis in the form of a Christian
environmental ethic that
results in responsible and caring stewardship of all of God’s
creation. The principles of Creation Value, Sustained Order and
Purpose, and Universal
Corruption and Redemption provide the foundation of a Christian
environmental ethic. To practice effective Christian environmental
stewardship, we must
work on increasing our knowledge of these principles from biblical,
scientific and
practical policy and management perspectives.”
Postscript
After Dr. Wilson, myself, and Sally Bingham spoke
there was a time for questions and answers from the audience.
But before that began, Mrs. Bingham appeared quite agitated
and concerned and took it upon herself to initiate what
she believed was a needed correction.
She addressed me in the microphone saying that she was
quite upset and surprised that I would quote Bjorn Lomborg
as an authority, yet who had been declared a fraud by the
Danish government. She went on to say that I had misled
the audience by using this fraudulent source and that was
shameful.
I do not know if Dr. Wilson’s
voice was heard through the microphone but he added that
it was not the Danish
government (as Mrs. Bingham said), but was the Academy
of Science in Denmark that said Lomborg was dishonest in
his book, The Skeptical Environmentalist. The audience
responded with some applause.
My response was that I was
not aware of any controversy concerning Lomborg. I was
quoting from his multi peer reviewed
document presentation at the U.S. Congressional hearings
only a month ago, and I could not imagine someone who’s
been discredited as a fraud being allowed to testify before
Congress.
The Reverend Bingham did pass
me a note apologizing. She said her comments were “not meant to be personal.” She
went on to say that she “knew there were people still
wondering about the reality of the problem” but she
had “honestly never been in the room with one or
on the same panel, at least in the last five years.” She
also passed me a several page overview of “The Stern
Report” claiming it would answer any questions about
cost/benefit ratios of environmental activism toward global
warming.
During the question and answer
session I stated that one of my life’s adages ironically was actually originally
said by a famous agnostic, John Stewart Mill, who said, “He
who only knows his side of a story, knows little of that.” I
really believe in testing or formulating one’s position
by weighing the best arguments and perspectives.
Apparently Reverend
Bingham hasn’t been willing
to weigh or test her beliefs in at least five years. This
is disappointing for me. I am concerned because I recognize
the beginning of a disturbing profile. I have been an expert
in cults for many years. There have been certain well-established
criteria for the implementation of what’s called
mind-control, thought reform or more colloquially, “brainwashing.”
Secular psychiatrist
Robert Lifton has listed a number of criteria or methodological
factors that fosters this
state. Some of these are: “information or milieu
control” where attempts are made to restrict or discredit
any outside or critical material of the groups position; “sacred
science” where the doctrine of the group is ultimate
truth and any questioning or criticism is ridiculed or
condemned; “dispensing of existence” where
anyone outside the group is viewed as inferior or even
demonized.
Another example, it appears that proponents of the theory
of human induced global warming have consistently declared
that the debate is over. This almost mantra-like chant
seems to serve as a tactic to ward off further debate.
Indeed, a typical approach taken by too many environmentalists
is to revert to ad hominem attacks – criticizing the researcher’s
motives rather than addressing the substance of their
arguments.
I find this ironic on two levels. First, the concept of skepticism has historically
been foundational as indicating a commitment to the idea that, in pursuit of
truth, nothing is beyond question, every bit of knowledge is open to improvement
and/or refutation as new evidence or better theories emerge. It’s called
the “scientific method.”
The second irony is that with all the secularist’s false criticism of
Christianity as being a matter of blind faith or myopic faith, the pro-global
warming side appears to have adopted this caricature themselves and made their
position more of a religion than science. This issue needs to be in the realm
of healthy scientific discovery where testability, evidence, longevity and
proof are king, instead of the unhealthy province of speculative “religious” belief,
where unquestioning, blind proselytizing rules the day.
Also Dr. Wilson assured me
after the program that the science on the catastrophic
effect on human induced global
warming was beyond dispute, and has been for some time.
He told me that there were some “secondary” scientists
that disagreed but they were on the fringes. He pointed
to the 2000 most respected world scientists on the IPCC
who were in agreement on this.
I then asked him specifically
if the information I had on the IPCC’s very recent
4th Assessment was not correct, which had adjusted downward
the temperature impact
of global warming by 25% and the probability of the human
induced factor by 35%.
Dr. Wilson and Dr. Bingham looked at my document and
they said that they had not seen the 4th Assessment yet.
According to my document the IPCC also reduced
the sea level rise projection by 50% which was 2000% below Al Gore’s
scenario. There were additional significant adjustments and even abandonments
by the IPCC, including a major previous claim called the “hockey stick” standard
on the historical measurement of global temperatures (see footnote).
So that evening I searched
for information on Bjorn Lomborg’s “proven
fraud” status and was amazed as to what I found.
In 2001 Lomborg published the controversial book, The Skeptical
Environmentalist (Cambridge University Pres). In January
2002, five scientists in the Scientific American magazine
published an 11 page deconstruction of Lomborg’s
arguments.
Then in January 2003 the Danish
Committee on Scientific Dishonesty issued a report that
said Lomborg’s book
had used “systematic one-sidedness” in selecting
data. The report prompted calls for Dr. Lomborg’s
removal as director of their government’s agency
that examines environmental regulations. The committee
also reported that Lomborg’s book was “objectively
dishonest” and “clearly contrary to the standards
of good scientific practice.”
This is what Dr. Wilson and
Sally Bingham were referring to but more surprising is
that they were apparently not
aware of Dr. Lomborg’s appeal and the ruling that
ensued. The Danish Ministry of Science, under which the
Scientific Dishonesty Committee operates, released a highly
critical assessment of the Scientific Dishonesty Committee’s
report on Bjorn Lomberg.
The Danish Environmental Assessment
Institute issued a press release stating that the Ministry
of Science’s
report “repudiated findings by the Committee on Scientific
Dishonesty.” Among the charges against the Committee
were that they had demonstrated “significant neglect
in case processing.” The committee had not documented
where Lomborg had allegedly been biased in his choice of
data, and contained no argumentation demonstrating the
alleged fallacies in Lomborg’s conclusions. The committee
had even neglected to cite specifically what the “mistakes” were,
so Lomborg had no opportunity to reply. The Ministry also
noted the criticism included condescending, emotional,
and unprofessional language toward Lomborg.
As a result the Committee
on Scientific Dishonesty in Denmark decided not to renew
or pursue their charges and
ended their case on March 12, 2004. I read the 8 page summary
of the Ministry of Science’s overturning document.
All of these are easily accessible on the internet. Why
wouldn’t the pro global warming side be aware of
that?
Then came the disturbing focus
on the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change.
I say “disturbing” because
like the actual facts on Lomberg’s “fraud”,
scrutiny on the Stern Review revealed the same blind, uncritical
acceptance by at least some pro global warming activists.
The Stern Review is a 700 page report released October
30, 2006 by Sir Nicholas Stern, former chief economist
at the World Bank. The Review was commissioned by the British
government and garnered a great frenzy of media attention,
and as a result, some immediate governmental posturing
to take action.
Prime Minister Tony Blair
said the Stern Review showed that scientific evidence
of global warming was “overwhelming” and
its consequences “disastrous.” Blair also called
it, “the most important report on the future ever
published by the government.”
The Report discussed the effect
of climate change and global warming on the environment,
the earth, on peoples,
and the world economy. Some main conclusions were that
only 1% of the worlds (all countries) GDP (gross domestic
product) is required to be invested in measures (like environmental
taxes) in order to prevent disastrous effects that would
cost $9 trillion (a 20% shrinkage each year)—a bill
greater than the Great Depression and the two World Wars
combined. The Review stated that the effort must be world-wide
and it must occur within the next 10-15 years.
But did the Review hold up
under the scrutiny of respected scientists and economists?
It is revealing that the same
BBC News that headlined the release of the Review was titled “Climate
Change Fight Can’t Wait,” but several months
later the same BBC News reported “Expert critics
of the Review now claim that it overestimates the risk
of severe global warming, and underestimates the cost of
acting to stop it.”
For example, Robert Mendelsohn
and William Nordshaus, prestigious economic professors
at Yale University and
Sir Partha Dasqupta of Cambridge University pointed out
the report assumed a 60% higher global population growth
rate than was expected by most all international demographers,
assumed income growth rates would be less than half the
present rate, and used inconsistent and absurd discount
rates that substantially underestimate the costs of cutting
carbon emissions, while simultaneously using a higher discount
rate when calculating the benefits of immediate action.
Do a Google search for “A Critique of the Stern Report” by
Mendelsohn.
There were many other criticisms
such as that of Dr. Richard Fol, an environmental economist
and lead author
for the IPCC, who said that if Stern’s Review had
been a Master’s thesis turned in by a student he
would have most likely given it an F. He cited that Stern
consistently picked the most pessimistic for every choice
and overestimates by “cherry picking” factors.
And these critical scientists are not anti-global warming
critics.
Part of the “wisdom literature” of the Bible is in the Book of
Proverbs. A relevant passage states, “The first to plead his case seems
just or right, until another comes and examines him” (Prov.18:17). This
appears to be the case with the Stern Review - for both sides. This is a very
important topic. Go to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stern_Review and evaluate
both the positive as well as the critical responses to the Review.
It is important that I not be misread here. I have already clearly stated that
evangelical Christian doctrine sets forth a Biblical responsibility for environmental
stewardship as well as responsible care and rehabilitation for the poor and
disenfranchised. The cultural and social mandate is clearly taught in Scripture
and does have a tradition, especially in Reformed theology.
Christians should and need to be involved independently as well as alongside
like-minded, co-belligerents in issues like habitat conservation, sustainable
development of resources, waste management, disease control, soil erosion,
endangered species, water quality, hazardous wastes, radiation control, pollutants,
landfills, and environmental ethics (See http://www.seafriends.org.nz/issues/threats.htm).
It is this last area, environmental ethics, where Christians are sometimes
at odds with secularists. For example, certain secular solutions like abortion
and genetic engineering or mandatory population control would not be acceptable
to evangelicals.
But the debate on climate control and global warming raises a very important
issue that needs to be addressed as we explore where we can or cannot connect
as co-belligerents. What I encountered at the recent conference at Samford
was a microcosm of a barrier.
There exists a fallen human trait called arrogance. Both Christians and non-Christians
can display it. But Christians and non-Christians can be rightly and wrongly
accused of this trait.
For example, because Christians believe what Jesus and the Bible teach that
Christ’s revelation and plan for salvation is the only true way, Christians
are accused of narrow-minded arrogance. But that should not be the case because
(1) truth by nature is narrow; (2 )if Christ is truly the God-man, He would
know the correct way of salvation; (3) Christians believe salvation is not
by superior morals, merit or intelligence, but is a free gift, sacrificially
given in mercy by grace. This is a far cry from arrogance.
But there are Christians who may sinfully believe or communicate a self-righteousness
which is alien to the truth of the Christian faith, and thus be rightly accused
of arrogance.
But the secularist
can also display an ignorance and arrogance toward Christians
or anyone else who disagrees with them. For example,
a typical
secular scientist’s
view is that Christianity is a science stopper because of the sacred cow of
macro-evolution. Yet we believe we can demonstrate that Christianity is a true
science starter, that macro-evolution is a problem filled theory. Even the
intelligent design, old-earth Christian advocates have seen major gains in
the scientific community (even in the atheistic community; i.e. Anthony Flew.)
Footnote:
[The hockey stick is an image used by the United
Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
that shows relatively stable temperatures from A.D. 1000
(and in later versions from 0 A.D.) to 1900, and a dramatic
temperature increase from 1900 to 2000. The conclusion
drawn by authors of the image is that human energy use
over the last 100 years has caused a dramatic and unprecedented
rise in temperatures across the globe.
However, several
independent studies called into question the hockey
stick's conclusions. A number
of climate experts noted that the Earth experienced
both a widely recognized Medieval Warm Period from
about A.D. 800 to 1400, as well as the Little Ice
Age from 1600 to 1850. The hockey stick missed
both of these significant climate trends. Other researchers
found methodological flaws with the hockey stick,
arguing some data sources were misused, several
calculations
were done incorrectly and some of the data were
simply obsolete.
Because the hockey
stick image has been regularly used to promote and justify
proposed climate
legislation,
Congress asked the National Academy of Sciences
(NAS) to examine the hockey stick controversy.
Their report,
released in early July, confirmed many of the
criticisms of the hockey stick. Whereas the authors of
the
research that produced the hockey stick concluded "the
1990s are likely the warmest decade, and 1998
the warmest year, in at least a millennium," the
NAS found little confidence could be placed in
those claims.
The NAS also found
the original researchers used proxy data for past temperature
reconstructions
that were unreliable, the historic climate
reconstruction
failed important tests for verifiability and
the methods used underestimated the uncertainty
in
the
conclusions reached. A second major 2006 Congressional
investigation into the hockey stick, the Wegman
Panel Report, was headed by Edward Wegman of
George Mason
University, also the Chairman of the National
Academy of Sciences Committee on Theoretical
and Applied
Statistics. The Wegman panel not only fully
endorsed the previous findings, but also presented a
wide-ranging
critique of the insularity of the paleoclimate
community, their isolation from mainstream
statistics, and their
hostility towards external review and replication
work. Wegman made a good recommendation about
the need for higher standards of disclosure
and review
scientific research is used in public policy.
However,
one would hardly know from news reports that the hockey
stick had largely failed to
pass scientific muster. Rather, press reports
typically
highlighted the limited areas where the NAS
supported the hockey stick research and downplayed
the
substantive flaws the NAS confirmed.]
Craig
Branch is the Director of the Apologetics Resource Center.
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